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基于能值的绿洲农业可持续发展情景分析——以新疆伊宁县为例/Emergy Based Sustainability Scenario Analysis of Oasis Agricultural Systems: A Case Study from Xinjiang, China[J]
张伟; 王秀红; 张宏业; ZHANG Wei; WANG Xiuhong; ZHANG Hongye; 杭州师范大学遥感与地球科学研究院,杭州,311121; 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101
2012
Source Publication资源与生态学报(英文版)
Volume3Issue:1Pages:26-32
Abstract如何协调干旱区生态环境保护与绿洲农业生态化发展之间的关系,避免绿洲系统的荒漠化,是实现绿洲人地系统可持续发展过程中亟待解决的关键问题.本文以伊宁县为例,利用能值分析和相图理论,深入分析了温带干旱区绿洲农业生产系统的时序演化状况与发展趋势,进而提出了相应的调控措施.研究结论如下:(1) 1989-2008年,伊宁县绿洲农业生态系统的能值总投入和总产出均呈持续增长趋势.(2)基于能值指标的可持续性分析表明,目前伊宁县农业生产系统仍处于可持续发展的状态,但可持续发展指数ESI呈现出波动下降的趋势;(3)基于相图理论的可持续线情景分析表明,F导向模式和N导向模式均有其局限性,在伊宁县农业生产系统今后的发展中,应采取R导向模式.即保持系统中当地不可更新资源利用比率的基本稳定,使得经济反馈能值的使用比率和本地不可更新资源的使用比率同步减少,籍此提高当地可更新资源对农产品生产的贡献率,保证系统的可持续发展.
Keyword干旱区 绿洲 能值分析 相图 情景分析 伊宁县 Arid Areas Oasis Emergy Analysis Ternary Diagrams Scenario Analysis Yining County
Funding OrganizationNational Basic Research Program of China,973 Program ; National Basic Research Program of China,973 Program ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Basic Research Program of China,973 Program ; National Basic Research Program of China,973 Program ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China
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Language中文
Funding OrganizationNational Basic Research Program of China,973 Program ; National Basic Research Program of China,973 Program ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Basic Research Program of China,973 Program ; National Basic Research Program of China,973 Program ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.xjlas.org/handle/365004/13358
Collection研究系统_荒漠环境研究室
Corresponding Author杭州师范大学遥感与地球科学研究院,杭州,311121; 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
张伟,王秀红,张宏业,等. 基于能值的绿洲农业可持续发展情景分析——以新疆伊宁县为例/Emergy Based Sustainability Scenario Analysis of Oasis Agricultural Systems: A Case Study from Xinjiang, China[J][J]. 资源与生态学报(英文版),2012,3(1):26-32.
APA 张伟.,王秀红.,张宏业.,ZHANG Wei.,WANG Xiuhong.,...&中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101.(2012).基于能值的绿洲农业可持续发展情景分析——以新疆伊宁县为例/Emergy Based Sustainability Scenario Analysis of Oasis Agricultural Systems: A Case Study from Xinjiang, China[J].资源与生态学报(英文版),3(1),26-32.
MLA 张伟,et al."基于能值的绿洲农业可持续发展情景分析——以新疆伊宁县为例/Emergy Based Sustainability Scenario Analysis of Oasis Agricultural Systems: A Case Study from Xinjiang, China[J]".资源与生态学报(英文版) 3.1(2012):26-32.
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