KMS XINJIANG INSTITUTE OF ECOLOGY AND GEOGRAPHY，CAS
| 塔吉克斯坦工业发展的演变过程和空间格局 | |
| Alternative Title | THE EVOLUTION PROCESS AND SPATIAL PATTERN OF THE INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT IN TAJIKISTAN |
| MIRSHAKAR ODINAEV | |
| Subtype | 硕士 |
| Thesis Advisor | 杨德刚 |
| 2019-06-30 | |
| Degree Grantor | 中国科学院大学 |
| Place of Conferral | 北京 |
| Degree Discipline | 理学硕士 |
| Keyword | 经济 统计 分析 能源 结构 Economy Statistics Analyze Energy Structure |
| Abstract | 本文通过对国家问题的分析，揭示了塔吉克斯坦的哈特隆区、戈尔诺-巴达赫尚自治区、共和附属区、索格德区和国家首都杜尚别五大地区的工业发展特点。许多发达国家的经验表明，一个国家如果没有工业产业或工业部门，就无法实现经济独立。本文阐明了塔吉克斯坦共和国在农业、贸易和服务业等工业部门的工业发展问题。在塔吉克斯坦独立的二十五年里，从贸易动态中可知俄罗斯贡献的的贸易份额正在逐渐下降，与此同时，中国的份额也在下降。在塔吉克斯坦与这些国家的货物周转活动中，塔吉克斯坦的进口量要远远大于出口量。本文利用地理信息系统(GIS) 技术解释了塔吉克斯坦共和国工业发展情况的动态空间分布，并分析了塔吉克斯坦共和国工业状况和发展的空间格局，特别是共和国四个主要地区的工业空间格局。研究表明，索格德地区的工业发展变动幅度较大，而其他地区的工业发展幅度明显较低，这一特征尤其在地区生产总值、工农业生产、零售额、有偿服务等指标方面异常明显。研究假设认为，珠三角地区产业发展水平的不平衡可能是由本地区的潜能没有得到充分的利用所致。同时，国家工业发展的主要方向是通过提高利用现有利用能力来决定，从而使之成为一个中转国。研究发现中国的货物，对发展我国的贸易和工业具有一定的促进作用且前景良好，并对水电的发展也有一定的正面影响。这项研究所涉及的理论和信息数据来源于塔吉克斯坦和外国科学家在工业发展领域的调查、统计汇编以及塔吉克斯坦共和国总统领导下的统计局提供的1991-2017 年期间的统计数据。研究结果揭示了哈特隆和索格德地区工业部门的若干发展特点。对区域生产总值的分析表明，自 2000 年以来，由于工业部门的发展，区域生产总值增长了几倍。 2017 年，哈特隆和索格德地区生产总值占地区生产总值的 60%。尽管经营小企业的数目有所增加，但合资企业的数目却在减少。基于此发展现状，必须通过公私合营工业来加快工业的发展。由于该地缺乏财政资源，并且贷记率和税收较高，使得大量的原材料和劳动力资源得不到充分的利用。因此，应对这一问题给予更多的关注。研究发现，该国各地区的工业发展主要取决于能源发展。这些地区蕴藏着丰富的水电资源，对这些资源的利用将极大地推动该地区的工业发展。20 世纪 90 年代初发展起来的哈特隆地区的工业，在今天的工业产业中几乎不起作用。在索格德地区的许多工业部门也存在着同样的情况，因此很有必要为工业的复兴创造条件。尽管在农业发展方面出现了积极的趋势，但在灌溉面积的重新分配、作物产量和畜禽生产力方面仍存在着不同的问题。在较发达的贸易和服务部门仍存在着部门和区域问题。索格德地区在贸易和服务领域的工业产业较为发达，零售贸易营业额和提供的服务的价值很好地证明了这一点。但仍有必要在贸易领域发展一种网络贸易形式。建议特别注意经济领域的工业发展。研究表明，尽管各地区工业发展加快，但仍有许多问题需要解决。对这些问题的进一步分析将有助于为塔吉克斯坦共和国各区域的工业发展制定更有针对性的建议。 |
| Other Abstract | Through the analysis of national issues, this paper reveals the industrialdevelopment characteristics of Tajikistan's Khatlon District, Gorno-BadakhshanAutonomous Region, Republican Affiliated Region, Sughd District and the nationalcapital Dushanbe. The experience of many developed countries shows that a countrycannot achieve economic independence without an industrial or industrial sector. Thisarticle clarifies the industrial development of the Republic of Tajikistan in theindustrial sectors of agriculture, trade and services. In the twenty-five years ofindependence of Tajikistan, it is known from the trade dynamics that Russia’s share oftrade is gradually declining, while China’s share is also falling. In Tajikistan and thecargo turnover activities of these countries, Tajikistan’s imports are much larger thanexports. This paper uses Geographic Information System (GIS) technology to explainthe dynamic spatial distribution of industrial development in the Republic ofTajikistan, and analyzes the spatial pattern of industrial conditions and development inthe Republic of Tajikistan, especially the industrial spatial pattern of the four mainregions of the Republic. Studies have shown that the industrial development in theSughd region is relatively large, while the industrial development in other regions issignificantly lower. This characteristic is particularly obvious in terms of regionalGDP, industrial and agricultural production, retail sales, and paid services. . Theresearch hypothesis suggests that the imbalance in the level of industrial developmentin the Pearl River Delta region may be due to the insufficient utilization of thepotential of the region. At the same time, the main direction of national industrialdevelopment is to make decisions by making use of existing utilization capabilities,thus making it a transit country. The study found that Chinese goods have certainpromotion effects on the development of China's trade and industry, and have goodprospects, and have a certain positive impact on the development of hydropower.The theoretical and informational data involved in the study are derived fromsurveys and statistical compilations of industrial scientists in Tajikistan and foreignscientists, as well as statistics from the Statistical Office under the leadership of thePresident of the Republic of Tajikistan for the period 1991-2017. The findings revealseveral developmental characteristics of the industrial sector in the Khatlon and Sughdregions. An analysis of regional GDP shows that since 2000, regional GDP has increased several fold due to the development of the industrial sector. In 2017, thegross domestic product of the Khatlon and Sughd regions accounted for 60% of theregional GDP.Although the number of small businesses has increased, the number of jointventures has decreased. Based on this development status, it is necessary to acceleratethe development of industry through public-private partnership industries. Due to thelack of financial resources in the area, and the high credit rate and tax revenue, a largeamount of raw materials and labor resources are not fully utilized. Therefore, moreattention should be paid to this issue. The study found that industrial development invarious parts of the country depends mainly on energy development. These areas arerich in hydropower resources, and the use of these resources will greatly promoteindustrial development in the region.The industry in the Khatlon region, which was developed in the early 1990s, haslittle effect in today's industrial sector. The same is true in many industrial sectors inthe Sughd region, so it is necessary to create conditions for the industrial renaissance.Despite positive trends in agricultural development, there are still different issuesin the redistribution of irrigated areas, crop yields and livestock productivity.Sectoral and regional issues still exist in the more developed trade and servicesectors. The industrial sector in the area of trade and services is more developed in theSughd region, as evidenced by the value of retail trade turnover and the servicesprovided. However, it is still necessary to develop a form of online trade in the field oftrade. Special attention is given to industrial development in the economic field.Studies have shown that despite the accelerated industrial development in variousregions, many problems still need to be resolved. Further analysis of these issues willhelp to develop more targeted recommendations for industrial development in thevarious regions of the Republic of Tajikistan. |
| Subject Area | 人文地理 |
| Language | 英语 |
| Document Type | 学位论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.xjlas.org/handle/365004/15297 |
| Collection | 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 研究系统 |
| Affiliation | 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 |
| First Author Affilication | 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | MIRSHAKAR ODINAEV. 塔吉克斯坦工业发展的演变过程和空间格局[D]. 北京. 中国科学院大学,2019. |
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