KMS XINJIANG INSTITUTE OF ECOLOGY AND GEOGRAPHY，CAS
| 基于主体功能区的区域可持续发展协调性分析——以新疆北疆为例 | |
| Alternative Title | Analysis of Regional Sustainable Development Coordination Based on Main Functional Area——Taking northern Xinjiang as an example |
| 钟佳利 | |
| Subtype | 硕士 |
| Thesis Advisor | 杨德刚 |
| 2019-06-30 | |
| Degree Grantor | 中国科学院大学 |
| Place of Conferral | 北京 |
| Degree Discipline | 理学硕士 |
| Keyword | 主体功能区 可持续发展 协调发展度模型 关键影响因素 Main Functional Area Sustainable Development Coordinated Development Model Key Influencing Factor |
| Abstract | 改革开放以来，社会和经济得到了大幅度的提升，但另一方面也出现了一系列社会环境问题，且随着城镇化的不断推进愈加严重，影响着区域可持续发展，为解决一系列矛盾， 2011 年我国首个全国性国土空间开发规划《全国主体功能区规划》正式发布。新疆地处我国边境， 属生态系统极其脆弱区，区域可持续发展面临的挑战更为严峻，于 2013 年新疆正式颁布主体功能区规划，对新疆的无序发展起到了思想上的领导作用。 其中北疆是新疆最具代表性，功能区包含最全面的区域，为探析从 2005-2015 年间， 北疆各区域进行功能分区后， 各功能区中社会经济资源环境综合水平发展状况如何， 四大系统间协调发展是否有所改善， 各功能区协调性发展主要影响因素又有哪些。故本文以北疆 44 个县市为研究对象，从主体功能区视角出发，通过 2005、 2010、 2015 年三年截面的数据，从区域社会、经济、资源、环境（SERE）四个方面 27 个具体指标，建立了协调发展评价体系；评价了北疆不同主体功能区（重点开发区、农产品主产区、重点生态功能区）及各县市 SERE 系统综合发展水平及其复合协调度，并进行协调发展度等级划分，阐述了主体功能区规划实施以来的空间效应，同时探析了影响系统间协调发展度的关键因素，并提出相应的对策建议。 主要研究成果包括以下几个方面：（1）运用综合指数法构建北疆 44 个县市的系统协调发展度评价指标体系，分析 2015 年各功能区 SERE 系统综合水平。结果表明：重点开发区各县市经济和社会综合水平相对较高，但资源综合水平和环境综合水平普遍较低；农产品主产区各县市社会、经济、资源与环境 SERE 综合系统水平均表现为普遍中低水平；重点生态功能区除环境综合水平相对较高以外，社会、经济和资源综合水平均处于较低水平。（2）通过对各区域 2005、 2010、 2015 年系统综合水平极差和标准差进行分析，结果发现： 2005-2015 年重点开发区、农产品主产区和重点生态功能区社会综合水平极差逐渐增大，变异系数整体上呈现增加状态；经济综合水平的极差增加显著，且增加趋势逐渐加大，变异系数也逐渐加大；资源综合水平极差整体上呈现减小的状态，变异系数也呈现先减小后增加的趋势；环境综合水平极差和变异系数均逐渐减小。（3）利用协调发展度模型分析各区域发展性评价，结果表明： 2005-2015 年协调度最差和最优县市均较少，北疆三大主体功能区系统协调发展的协调性等级主要集中于勉强协调。随着时间推移，北疆整体协调度处于不可接受范围的县市有所增加。其中，重点开发区功能失调的县市比例较大，农产品主产区协调转失调较为明显，重点生态功能区最具协调水平改善潜力，县市上升幅度最大，处于北疆 SERE 系统协调发展领先地位。（4）对失调市县进行协调发展类型划分，结果表明：失调市县类型划分上，北疆三大主体功能区失调市县占较高比重的类型逐渐从环境水平相对滞后演变成资源水平相对滞后再到环境水平相对滞后，且 2015 年环境水平相对滞后市县个数尤为突出。 2005-2015 年，重点开发区均未出现社会水平相对滞后和经济水平相对滞后的县市，但环境水平相对滞后的市县数目相对较多；农产品主产区均未出现社会水平相对滞后和经济水平相对滞后的县市，主要表现为环境水平相对滞后；重点生态功能区没有出现社会水平相对滞后类型的县市，滞后类型发生了从环境水平相对滞后到资源水平相对滞后再到环境水平相对滞后的一个变化过程。（5）运用灰色关联度法分析影响协调发展度的关键性因素，结果表明：重点开发区较为明显的社会影响因素主要集中在基础教育和医疗卫生，经济方面主要集中在经济潜力及经济规模上，资源方面主要集中在水资源和耗电耗能，环境方面主要集中在污染物排放量和污染治理技术均；农产品主产区较为明显的影响因素社会方面主要集中在基础教育和城镇化率，经济方面主要也集中在经济潜力及经济规模上；资源方面主要集中在水资源和耗电耗能以及土地资源（耕地面积），环境方面主要集中在污染物排放量和污染治理技术；重点生态功能区较为明显的影响因素社会方面主要集中在公共基础设施和医疗卫生，经济方面主要集中在经济规模上，另外，人均 GDP、农民纯收入以及三产比重与重点生态功能区系统协调发展也具有较强的关联性；资源方面影响因素主要集中在水资源，环境方面主要集中在污染物排放量和污染治理技术。 |
| Other Abstract | Since the reform and opening up, the society and the economy have been greatlyimproved, but on the other hand, a series of social and environmental problems haveemerged, and with the continuous advancement of urbanization, it has become moreserious, affecting regional sustainable development, and solving a series ofcontradictions. In 2011, China’s first national land space development plan, “NationalMain Functional Area Planning” was officially released. Xinjiang is located at theborder of China and is an extremely fragile ecosystem. The challenges facing regionalsustainable development are even more severe. In 2013, Xinjiang officiallypromulgated the main functional zone plan, which played an ideological leadership rolein the disorderly development of Xinjiang. Among them, the northern Xinjiang is themost representative of Xinjiang, and the functional area contains the mostcomprehensive area. In order to analyze the development level of the social andeconomic resources and environment in each functional area after the functionaldivision of the northern Xinjiang region from 2005 to 2015, Whether the coordinateddevelopment of large systems has improved, and what are the main influencing factorsfor the coordinated development of various functional areas. Therefore, this paper takes44 counties and cities in northern Xinjiang as the research object, from the perspectiveof the main functional area, through the three-year cross-section data of 2005, 2010 and2015, from the regional social, economic, resource, and environmental (SERE) 27Specific indicators, established a coordinated development evaluation system;evaluated the different main functional areas of Northern Xinjiang (key developmentzones, major agricultural production areas, key ecological functional areas) and thecomprehensive development level and comprehensive coordination degree of SEREsystems in various counties and cities, and carried out Coordinated development degreeclassification, expounded the spatial effects since the implementation of the mainfunctional area planning, and analyzed the key factors affecting the coordinated development between systems, and proposed corresponding countermeasures. Themain research results include the following aspects:(1)The comprehensive index method was used to construct the system coordinatedevelopment evaluation index system of 44 cities and counties in northern Xinjiang,and the comprehensive level of the four major systems in each functional area in 2015was analyzed. The results show that the economic levels and social levels of the citiesand counties in key development zones are relatively high, but the comprehensive levelof resources and the comprehensive level of the environment are generally low. Thefour comprehensive systems of society, economy, resources and environment in themajor producing areas of agricultural products are generally low-level, thecomprehensive level of resources and the comprehensive level of environment in keyecological functional areas are relatively high, but the social and economic levels arenot developed.(2) Through the analysis of the systematic level difference and standard deviationof each region in 2005, 2010 and 2015, it is found that: In 2005-2015, the socialintegration level of key development zones, major agricultural production areas and keyecological functional areas increased gradually, and the coefficient of variation showedan overall increase. The range in the level of economic integration has increasedsignificantly, and the increasing trend has gradually increased, and the coefficient ofvariation has gradually increased; The range level of resource integration is generallyreduced, and the coefficient of variation also shows a trend of decreasing first and thenincreasing; The level of environmental integration and the coefficient of variation aregradually decreasing.(3) The coordinated development model is used to analyze the coordinateddevelopment of each region. The results show that in 2005-2015, the coordinationdegree was the worst and the best cities and counties were few. The coordination levelof the coordinated development of the three main functional zones in northern Xinjiangis mainly concentrated on reluctance coordination. With the passage of time, cities andcounties with an unacceptable range of overall coordination in northern Xinjiang haveincreased. Among them, the key development zones have a large proportion of dysfunctional cities and counties, and the coordination of the main producing areas ofagricultural products has become more obvious from coordination to disorientation.The key ecological function zone has the greatest potential for improvement incoordination level.(4) Coordinated development type division of dysfunctional cities and counties,the results show that the types of dysfunctional cities and counties, the three majorfunctional areas of northern Xinjiang, the proportion of cities and counties with a higherproportion gradually evolved from a relatively lagging environmental level to arelatively lagging. The types of cities and counties of the three main functional areas innorthern Xinjiang occupy a relatively high proportion evolved from a relative lag in theenvironmental level to a relative lag in the level of resources, and then theenvironmental level is relatively lagging behind, and the number of cities and countiesin 2015 is relatively prominent. From 2005 to 2015, there were no cities and countiesin the key development zones where the social level was relatively lagging and theeconomic level was relatively lagging behind, but the number of cities and countieswith relatively lagging environmental conditions was relatively large. In the mainproducing areas of agricultural products, there are no cities and counties where thesocial level is relatively lagging and the economic level is relatively lagging behind,mainly because the environmental level is relatively lagging. There are no cities andcounties in the key ecological functional areas where the social level is relativelylagging. The lag type has undergone a change process from the relative lag of theenvironmental level to the relative lag of the resource level and then to the relative lagof the environmental level.(5) The gray correlation degree method is used to analyze the key factors affectingthe degree of coordinated development. The results show that the more obvious socialinfluence factors in key development zones are mainly concentrated in basic educationand medical care, and the economic aspects are mainly concentrated on economicpotential and economic scale, and resources are mainly concentrated on water resourcesand power consumption, the environmental aspects are mainly concentrated onpollutant emissions and pollution control technologies. the main factors affecting the main producing areas of agriculture are mainly concentrated in basic education andurbanization rate, and the economic aspect is also mainly concentrated on economicpotential and economic scale, and resources are mainly concentrated in water resourcesand power consumption, as well as land resources (farm area), and environmentalaspects are mainly focused on pollutant emissions and pollution control technologies.The key factors affecting the ecological function areas are mainly social infrastructureand health care, and the economic aspect is mainly concentrated on the scale of theeconomy, and the factors affecting resources are mainly concentrated in water resources,and the environmental aspects are mainly concentrated on pollutant emissions andpollution control technologies. |
| Subject Area | 人文地理学 |
| Language | 中文 |
| Document Type | 学位论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.xjlas.org/handle/365004/15334 |
| Collection | 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 研究系统 |
| Affiliation | 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 |
| First Author Affilication | 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | 钟佳利. 基于主体功能区的区域可持续发展协调性分析——以新疆北疆为例[D]. 北京. 中国科学院大学,2019. |
| Files in This Item: | There are no files associated with this item. | |||||
Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.
Edit Comment